THE VALUE OF INFLAMMATORY BIOMARKERS IN PREDICTING MORTALITY OUTCOMES IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE ISCHEMIC STROKE RECEIVING CONSERVATIVE TREATMENT

Kieu Anh Tho Pham1, , Van Phong Nguyen2
1 Can Tho University of Medicine and Pharmacy
2 Can Tho General Hospital

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Abstract

Objectives: To determine the prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in predicting 30-day mortality outcomes among patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving conservative treatment. Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted on 130 patients diagnosed with acute ischemic stroke at Can Tho General Hospital from May 2024 to February 2026. The inflammatory biomarkers included the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6). Results: The mean age of the participants was 64.90 ± 10.95 years, 61.5% were male and the severe stroke group (NIHSS ≥ 15 points) accounted for 27.7%. The 30-day mortality rate was 24.6%. Patients with acute ischemic  stroke who died within 30 days had a significantly higher median NLR of 5.40 (IQR: 3.77 - 7.14) compared with survivors, whose median NLR was 3.75 (IQR: 2.59 - 4.72) (p < 0.05). Similarly, the median CRP level in the mortality group was 9.04 mg/L (IQR: 5.09 - 10.96), and the median IL-6 level was 13.15 pg/mL (IQR: 11.42 - 15.05), both significantly higher than in the survivor group (p < 0.05). ROC analysis showed that NLR had the highest predictive value with an AUC of 0.730 (95%CI: 0.627 - 0.832). The optimal cut-off value for NLR was 5.27, yielding a sensitivity of 56.3% and a specificity of 85.7% for predicting mortality. Conclusion: Systemic inflammatory biomarkers, including NLR, CRP, and IL-6, demonstrate potential value in predicting 30-day mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving conservative treatment.

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References

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